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PRIMA Volume 2, Issue 2 Fujimori’s Brand of
Populism Boyd
Stephenson Introduction
The 1990s have been a decade of both great hope and apprehension
for the advancement of democracy. As
the decade opened, the Soviet Union fell; Russia and the other newly
independent states quickly reorganized themselves behind the idea of
democracy. There was great
hope for democracy as a world force.
Some even saw democracy as the final world government; others dared
to call the fall of the Soviet Union the “end of history.”[i]
For the fifteen years before the breakup of the Soviet Union,
Samuel Huntington’s Third Wave of democracy slowly brought elected
governments in Southern Europe, East Asia, and especially, Latin America.[ii]
Amartya Sen called the rise of democracy the “preeminent”
development of the twentieth century.[iii] Indeed, electoral
democracy was on the rise. Before
the fall of the Soviet Union, Freedom House’s Annual Survey of Political
Rights and Civil Liberties classified 76 countries as democracies.
One year later, at the close of 1991, 91 countries ranked as
democracies.[iv]
However, as the 1990s progressed two trends in world
democratization were visible. First
of all, several states, such as Nigeria and Belarus, slid backwards
towards autocracy. Fortunately,
these losses of formal democracy were mitigated by the democratization of
other states such as Gabon and South Africa.
Despite the relative rise of the number of democracies, there were
some troubling features of these democracies.
They were technically electoral democracies, that is to say that
their governments were selected in reasonably regular free and fair
elections, but they did not have the traditional traits found in the
older, established democracies of the North Atlantic region.
They were what Fareed Zakaria called illiberal democracies.
Zakaria notes that, “Democratically elected regimes, often ones
that have been reelected or reaffirmed through referenda, are routinely
ignoring constitutional limits of their power and depriving their citizens
of basic rights and freedoms…we see the rise of a disturbing phenomenon
in international life—illiberal democracy.”[v]
Zakaria goes on to argue that quality of life is appreciably better
in those states, such as pre-PRC Hong Kong, where the government is
effectively authoritarian but civil liberties are both nurtured and
respected. Because of this,
policy goals should be shifted to encouraging respecting civil liberties,
noting their role in the British experience of gradual development, or
consolidation, towards liberal democracy. According to the
Freedom House surveys, Zakaria was correct in analyzing the rampant growth
of illiberal democracy during the 1990s. Freedom House surveys rate two scales from 1 (most expressive
or free) to 7 (least expressive or free).
The two scales are for political rights and civil liberties.
As Larry Diamond points out in his book, Developing Democracy,
“In fact, the gap between electoral and liberal democracy has grown
markedly during the latter part of the third wave, forming one of its most
significant but little-noticed features”.[vi]
Due to this fact, social commentators draw several wide-ranging
conclusions. They posited end
of the third wave and put forth the assumption that we can expect to see
reductions in the number and quality of world democracies as we did during
the Interwar years and the post-colonial era. While Diamond admits that the third wave may very well be
over, he posits a new theory of democratization that: Democracy
should be viewed as a developmental phenomenon.
Even when a country is above the threshold of electoral (or even
liberal) democracy, democratic institutions can be improved and deepened
or may need to be consolidated; political competition can be made fairer
and more open; participation can become more inclusive and vigorous;
citizens’ knowledge of resources, and competence can grow; elected (and
appointed) officials can be made more responsive and accountable; civil
liberties can be better protected; and the rule of law can become more
efficient and secure. Viewed
in this way, continued democratic development is a challenge for all
countries, including the United States; all democracies, new and
established can become more democratic.[vii] Examining
all states from this perspective, any state intent on democratizing is in
a constant process of progression towards becoming a more liberal
democracy.
States will certainly move forward in their own ways.
Some will jump into providing much greater electoral access and
relaxing state repression, such as South Africa when it ended apartheid.
Others will move gradually into liberal democracy along a course
more closely approximated by Mexico.
Some will attempt to limit the terms of their national
legislatures, only to be beaten back by institutional checks on stupidity
already built into their systems.[viii]
Finally, some states will appear to slip backwards from liberal
democracy and return to authoritarian models. This paper will
consider the development of democracy in a state that slipped backwards:
Peru during the administration of Alberto Fujimori.
I will examine the state of democracy existing in Peru as Fujimori
took office after the 1990 election, its apparent dissolution from the
April 5, 1992 autogolpe through the 2000 election, and executive
moves to discourage the re-emergence of political parties and the
executive branch’s ascendancy over the other two branches.
Finally, I will examine the consequences of the Fujimori regime for
both the newly elected Toledo regime and for Peru as a whole. I then ask the
question that although Alberto Fujimori seriously hindered the
consolidation of democracy in Peru via “Fujipopulism,” did his
government have overriding positive effects on Peru—despite his apparent
disdain of democracy and constitutional liberalisms?
Peru is not a case of a failed state (as some could have argued,
especially during the closing days of the García administration), but is
a democracy that is slowly learning how to be a democracy.
As such, most of the actions of the Fujimori regime can be
explainable as steps backwards for democracy, but are in fact both good
steps for Peru as a whole in the short-run and for Peruvian democratic
consolidation in the long run. Due
to a combination of expected and unexpected policy effects during
Fujimori’s administration, several of the roots of both political rights
and civil liberties were reawakened and reinstilled in the population.
The “Fujishock” caused short-term hardship but corrected a
badly mismanaged economy. The
windfall revenues from privatization of state owned enterprises allowed
for both effectively arming the military by allowing it to work with the rondos
campesinos to emasculate the Sendero Luminoso and providing funds for
much needed infrastructure improvements.
These policies were chillingly effective, as Fujimori’s landslide
reelection victory in 1995 proves. However, these
twin pillars of Fujipopulism, economic austerity and direct public works
spending, were incompatible in the long term.
As suggested by survey data in Kurt Weyland’s research, despite
Fujimori’s success in reviving the economy through structural means in
the early 1990s, when the economy soured due to Él Niño and the Asian
financial crisis in the late 1990s, Peruvians responded to Fujimori as
Americans do to a president during troubled economic times.
While Peruvians were more than willing to stand by their president
when their economy needed restructuring, the feeling as recession hit in
the late 1990s was that the Peruvian economy was structurally sound, just
not being encouraged by Fujimori’s leadership.[ix]
Additionally, by encouraging the development of the rondos
campesinos, Fujimori encouraged the formation of tightly knit civil
society groups. These groups
would eventually clamor for a great voice in government—a development
that would require a stronger legislature. From Anti-statist to being the state
In her seminal essay on Peru’s political history and its effects
through today, Cynthia McClintock states, “Peru is a nation where there
has been experience with democratic norms and practices…Peru’s history
of failure with democracy is not surprising.
While in the 1960s many social scientists expected democratic
consolidation in Latin America’s Southern Cone, they did not in Peru or
most other Andean nations.”[x]
McClintock goes on to describe the unusually powerful roles that
race and class disparities have played in Peru’s history.
Most of Peru’s struggle with democracy can be described by the
plight of Peru’s first mass-action political party: APRA.
APRA was Peru’s first institutionalized party and oddly enough a
left-leaning party. APRA’s
goals frightened the ruling Peruvian oligarchy for much of the twentieth
century, and much of the nation’s political development of the middle of
the century centers around conflict between APRA and political elites.
It was not until 1985, well after the death of party founder, Haya
de la Torre, that APRA successfully seized the presidency of Peru in the
form of its new party leader, Alan García. The García
government was troubled from the start.
Fulfilling populist campaign promises required spending much of the
treasury. Unfortunately,
foreign lenders disagreed with the fiscal soundness of such a plan.
García first stated that Peru would not pay more than 10% of its
total export GDP to service foreign debt and then when Peru’s creditors
balked at this idea, he defaulted on Peru’s debt completely.[xi]
For two years García kept the appearance of a healthy economy by
using Peru’s foreign reserves to promote local spending.
Unfortunately for García, after two years Peru’s reserves had
run out and there was no money to pay for anything.
Because of this financial mismanagement, both García and APRA as a
party had been discredited. At
the same time, due to raging poverty, especially in the Andean highlands,
the Maoist insurrectionists of Sendero Luminoso effectively controlled
large swaths of the country and were beginning to encroach upon the
capital.
Source:
“Fujipopulism and the liberal state in Peru, 1991-1995,” Bruce H. Kay.
Journal of Inter-American Studies and World Affairs.
38.4
The most obvious candidate to win the 1990 election was famous
novelist Mario Vargas Llosa. In
a 1990 issue of Third World Quarterly, Sandra Woy-Hazleton and
William A. Hazleton describe the effects of Sendero’s insurrection on
Peru and their ideas of what the future holds for Peru’s political
stage. They note only one
candidate, Vargas Llosa, and the only other party mentioned is the United
Left (Izquierda Unida IU).[xii]
Fujimori and his
“movement,” Cambio 90, are not mentioned at all.
Despite this, as Vargas Llosa continued to attack the mismanagement
of the García administration, García retaliated by giving Alberto
Fujimori his political endorsement. Fujimori
responded craftily. While
implicitly accepting García’s endorsement, he continued to rail against
the mismanagement of the political parties in Peru’s history.
Finally, Fujimori denounced Vargas Llosa’s well-articulated
economic restructuring policy as too drastic and announced his support for
more gradual changes in the Peruvian economy as a wiser course towards
stability.
Fujimori’s dark-horse candidacy resonated with voters and while
he finished second in the first round elections, all groups threw their
support behind him, sending a political unknown with no majority in either
house of Congress into the presidential palace.
García had essentially left Peru with three important problems and
Fujimori’s response to those problems would both characterize
Fujipopulism and prove to be his final undoing. Problem 1: An Economy in shambles
At the beginning of Fujimori’s first term of office, the García
administration had allowed inflation rates to rise to more than 7,500
percent.[xiii]
Fujimori had argued against Vargas Llosa’s “shock” treatment
for the Peruvian economy, instead pushing for more gradual reforms.
However, when Fujimori went to Washington DC at the beginning of
his term, he met with creditors from the World Bank, IMF, and
Inter-American Development Bank. These development organizations would accept nothing less
than total shock therapy. Fujimori
used the tremendous power the Peruvian Congress traditionally cedes to all
incoming presidents in economic regulation to implement the “Fujishock.”
The Fujishock lowered trade tariffs, removed price controls, and
agreed to international control over Peru’s budget.[xiv]
Inflation rates dropped drastically during the Fujimori
administration. Problem 2: Maoist Insurrectionists
When Fujimori took office, the Sendero Luminoso Maoist
revolutionary group controlled good portions of Peru’s territory and had
begun an urban campaign attempting to take possession of Lima.
The rebels’ reach was such that the Southern (primarily highland)
provinces were all under direct military control due to states of
emergency. Fujimori received
large windfall income due to privatization of state owned industries as
required by the economic restructuring package that he agreed to.
Over the course of just under five years, the Fujimori regime
amassed over 3 billion US dollars from privatization sales.
Source:
Fujipopulism and the liberal state in Peru, 1991-1995,” Bruce H. Kay.
Journal of Inter-American Studies and World Affairs.
38.4. Values
for 1995 only include up to March of that year.
Fujimori was able to use the revenues from privatization to fund
two important projects during his presidency.
In dealing with the Senderistas, Fujimori used the monies from
privatization to increase funding for the badly beaten Peruvian military
and to purchase weapons to arm the peasant groups called rondos
campesinos created to drive off guerilla incursions.
More effective and predictable pay for the military not only
increased support for Fujimori at the micro-level in making the average
more loyal to the Fujimori regime than they had been to the García
regime, but it also made the politicization of the military a more tenable
option as the military became a more visible priority in the Peruvian
state. Furthermore, closer
links between the rondos campesinos and the Peruvian military
allowed the military to act as a campaigning force for Fujimori’s
reelection bid in 1995, ultimately successful because of his public works
and success in defeating Guzman’s forces. Problem 3: A discredited party system
The first thing to note about this problem is that while systems
lacking organized political parties are less likely to foster democracy,
they are more likely to support strong populist presidents.
It is also important to note that although political scientists
will point out that political parties are essential to representing the
interests of the people, Peru’s political parties had failed in that
capacity. Parties such as Acíon
Popular, APRA, and the Izquierda Unida had not fulfilled their promises to
represent Peruvians, and had marginalized much of the population.
Fujimori was able to use their corruption to promote himself as a
candidate who would represent the interests of the average Peruvian.
His nickname, “El Chino,” derives from an earlier derogatory
nickname given during 1990 election, “El Chinito.”[xv]
In Latin America, the diminutive “-ito” suffix is often used as
a subtle slur. Fujimori was
able to change a subtle slur by elites into a name of respect amongst
Peruvians. Fujimori ran on a
platform denouncing the parties in Peru as being corrupt, out of touch
with the state as a whole, and puppets for the interests of the landed
classes and the wealthy Limeños. While
Fujimori was essentially correct on all of these charges, he did not take
steps to transform Cambio 90 from a highly decentralized political
movement into a more official party.
Instead, Fujimori used the utmost of his ability to distance
himself from Cambio 90 and the legislature as a whole.
Lacking a well-organized party to support him, Fujimori made
alliances with Vladmiro Montesinos, installing him as the unofficial head
of the National Intelligence Services (SIN).
Furthermore, links were consolidated with the military by promoting
officers favorable to the idea of politicization of the military while
quietly pushing those with reservations aside. Fujimori was able
to accomplish several goals at once.
First of all, because all parties were considered discredited at
that point in time, El Chino wanted to be considered closer to the
Peruvian people than to Cambio 90. However,
by distancing himself from his movement’s leadership in Congress,
Fujimori lost the pull that a party’s total support could give him in
the legislature. However, via
the politicization of the military and judicious use of the SIN, Fujimori
co-opted the military and used them effectively as his party supporters.
This became readily apparent during the months leading up to the
1995 election, when soldiers already distributing Fujimorean largess also
passed along campaign materials to the indigenous people of the highlands.
Fujimori’s successes in dealing with both the economic
restructuring and putting down the Sendero rebellion gave credence to his
claim that a strong party system in Peru had been one of the sources of
all the state’s problems. Short-term
successes caused the Peruvian populace to agree with him.
Furthermore, his legislature passed laws barring any candidate from
pursuing political office if they had charges pending against them during
the time of the election. This
served as an implicit reminder to the Peruvian citizens that the corrupt
officials of former party based governments were still corrupt.
It also explicitly kept Alan García both out of the 1995
presidential election and caused him to be the albatross hanging around
the neck of APRA, regardless of what candidate ran under their ticket.
While the Peruvian people stood staunchly against political parties
in the 1990s, the effects of having only the personalistic Cambio 90/Nuevo
Mayoría “movement” holding office discouraged any sort of organized
opposition to Fujimori’s policies.
While during the beginning of the Fujimori administration there was
an assumption that he needed extra latitude to correct the economy and put
down the Senderistas, once these issues had been taken care of, popular
opinion turned against him in a slowing world economy and popular
opposition mounted against him, especially against his taking a third
electoral term of office.
Despite a chance for party renewal, Peru’s traditional and
mainstream political parties have remained tools for the economic elite.
During the Fujimori years they came together under an umbrella
organization called the Democratic Forum, however, according to Steven
Levitsky, “Because its [the Democratic Forum’s] leaders are widely
(and correctly) perceived to represent the old political class the Fujimorismo
displaced, the organization has been unable to gain political momentum.”[xvi]
This is a problem because no other method existed to combat the
highly populist methods of Fujimori.
While the president could claim a direct connection to the people,
and claim successes in promoting something for everyone in Peru, the
political parties remained immobile and failed to attempt to appeal to the
average Peruvian voter. This
problem persists to this day. Peruvians
are derisive of political parties for good reason.
No political party as of yet has worked to implement policies that
genuinely benefit the average Peruvian.
While a system with strong political parties may be an effective
method for bolstering liberal democracy, a system with strongly engrained
political parties that serve only a small portion of the population only
promotes Latin America’s historic legacy of oligarchy. “Fujipopulism” – Reaping the
benefits
For many years, it was assumed that Latin America would have
trouble developing economically due to its inclination to install populist
leaders in office. The divide
between the policies necessary for international respect as a healthy
economy and the policies required of a populist president to please the
average voter were always thought to be mutually exclusive.
Kenneth Roberts and Moises Arce argue differently, stating, “The
Peruvian case suggests that there are contexts in which political leaders
can implement market reforms while sustaining lower-class political
support.”[xvii]
Fujimori lost much of the trust of his primary constituency during
the “Fujishock.” This was effectively demonstrated in the voting for the 1993
Constitution. The new
Constitution barely passed at a margin of 53 percent in favor over 47
percent against, and was widely seen as a referendum on Fujimori’s
performance to date, especially in light of his autogolpe in April
of 1992. It was during this time that he gained the nickname, “The
President of Lima,” because the “Fujishock” was seen as merely a
policy to help Lima elites make more money and continue leaving rural
citizens out in the cold.[xviii]
Fujimori gained more votes from upper class Peruvians, but lost
much ground with his traditional voter base. While this opinion
might have suited Fujimori under the Constitution in effect when he was
elected, now that he had the option of reelection the large numbers of
votes from the poor drastically overpowered his needs for the support of
the Limeños. Therefore, he
instituted a massive public works construction program in the poorest
areas of the Andean highlands—precisely the areas that he had lost
ground with when he implemented the “Fujishock.”
Public works construction was concentrated in agencies responsible
to the executive, not the legislative, branch, such as FONCODES.[xix]
He furthermore increased his name and face recognition by
dedicating many of the works in person.
It was no accident that after Fujimori began personally dedicating
so many of his projects that laws were passed mandating that pictures of
candidates appear on the ballots for the 1995 presidential race. However, it is
important to realize that the policies usually associated with
“Fujipopulism” were effected only directly before the 1995 election
and ended shortly after. The
main purpose of infrastructure improvement was not to improve Peru, but to
improve Fujimori’s image as he prepared to enter the 1995 presidential
election. It is no surprise
then that he won in the first round with 64.4 percent of the vote,
negating a runoff.[xx] Post-1995 Election – the Law of
Unintended Consequences These twin pillars
of macroeconomic austerity combined with direct public aid in the form of
infrastructure construction were highly effective in building short-term
electoral support for Fujimori. In
fact, direct public spending was not dissimilar to what Alan García did
during the years after his brazen decision to limit Peru’s debt
servicing to 10 percent of export GDP.
Neither were sustainable policies.
When García decided to spend massively, he depleted Peru’s
foreign reserves. Fujimori,
however, had windfall government revenues from privatizing state-owned
companies. Whereas García’s public spending only exacerbated Peru’s
economic woes, Fujimori spent only small amounts of what Peru took in and
augmented it with aid from international donors, an option denied to García
after the default. Both,
however, were limited by a finite amount of revenue.
The difference laid in Fujimori’s judicious use of public finance
and García’s irresponsible spending.
But, because public spending is a highly expensive form of
government largess, Fujimori could not continue to spend on such a massive
scale after securing reelection in 1995, nor would he want to spend
government funds to finance projects with no political kickback for him. Thus, while
economic austerity was an economically sound and politically safe choice
for Fujimori, direct government spending (while still maintained by
requiring local governments to draw money from central funds) had to fall
if economic austerity was to be maintained.
Therefore, Fujimori maintained austerity to please the elites of
Lima (more important during non-electoral seasons) and allowed direct
spending to drop. “Fujipopulism”
did not so much end as much as it was phased out after it served its
purpose as a reelection tool. Fujimori as a Candidate for 2000 –
Breakdown of Support
According to research by Kurt Weyland, the state of the economy in
Peru influences public opinion similarly to the way it does in America.[xxi]
Economic success is rewarded with longstanding high approval
ratings while political accomplishments receive less appreciation.
Regarding the Fujimori regime, it received significantly higher
approval ratings that stayed in effect for longer periods of time once the
market stabilized than it did after the capture of Abimael Guzman.
While the political success of capturing Guzman created a spike of
increased approval ratings higher than that of economic stabilization, the
less sharp increases for economic successes lingered longer than the
effects of effectively ending the Sendero revolution.
This suggests that Fujimori’s performance with the economy
leading up to the 1995 election was more important in the voters’ minds
than the more recent and more visible capture of Guzman.
Similar results occur for the peace negotiation with Ecuador,
although the possibility remains that voters were initially satisfied with
Fujimori’s securing the peace and then less appreciative when they
learned the terms of that peace.
Fujimori’s economic performance changed very little during his
second term. There was no
major economic restructuring to be done, which may have been a blessing
for Peru but a curse for its President.
Peru slid into recession during the late 1990s due to droughts
caused by El Niño and the reverberations of the Asian Financial Crisis.
It experienced less growth (although a slowdown in growth was
inevitable moving from growth rates about 13 percent after the
“Fujishock” stabilized to economy) and moved close to recession with a
.3 percent growth in 1998.[xxii]
Despite Peru’s movement into recession, its economy was
structurally sound. There was
no need for a new “Fujishock” followed by an autogolpe to
jump-start the Peruvian economy. It
was simply slowing down. Thus,
Fujimori did not have the backing necessary to declare emergency measures.
Fujimori’s approval ratings, always over 50 percent during his
first term, fell to the mid-thirties. Moving into the
2000 election, Peruvians has simply tired of Fujimori.
While he was seen as the right man to economically structure Peru,
the economy had been restructured and the people of Peru were tired of
authoritarian government—especially authoritarian government playing at
being democratic. As Larry
Diamond notes, “Publics may be committed to the idea of democracy in
principle but be so disillusioned and disgusted with its failures in their
own country that they may judge it an inappropriate form of government for
their country, at the time.”[xxiii]
It is highly possible that while the autogolpe was wildly
popular in Peru when it happened, Peruvians decided that the time for a
strong man who could make decisions in government had ended.
At the time, “Peruvians essentially converted Fujimori into a
`democratic dictator,’ delegating extraordinary power to him in a
context of profound crisis.”[xxiv]
As the Fujimori presidency progressed, according to David Scott
Palmer, “many Peruvians believe that their country once again has a
government that works, and that a strong hand at the helm has had much to
do with this.”[xxv]
The economy was not in the best condition, but did not need any
restructuring. Thus, the main
feature in supporting a Peruvian president’s approval rating, economic
performance, turned against him. The economy was not failing, it was just falling. As the 2000
election approached, Fujimori increasingly searched for a Constitutional
interpretation that would allow him to run for a third term.
Finally, after much shuffling of the Constitutional Tribunal and
forcing silence on the part of the National Election Board, the 1993
Constitution was interpreted giving Fujimori an opportunity to run for
reelection because the 1995 election constituted his first election under
the new constitution. Civil
society groups, many of which had formed out of the rondos campesinos
nurtured by Fujimori just a few years ago, and Foro Democratico collected
1,441,053 signatures in a petition asking for a national referendum on the
question of his reelection.[xxvi]
Congress, controlled by Cambio 90/Nuevo Mayoría, declined to
submit the issue to public debate. However,
all throughout this time Fujimori resurrected his public works campaign of
1994 and 1995. Fujimori won the
first round of the 2000 election, although with just under the majority
required to forgo a run-off against the second place finisher: Alejandro
Toledo. Toledo cried foul at
the election practices and boycotted the second round. Fujimori had his third term, although it was inadvertently
ended when videotapes taken by his second-in-command, Head of the National
Intelligence Services (SIN) Vladmiro Montesinos, fell into the hands of
the media. Overnight,
opposition to Fujimori skyrocketed. Fujimori
scheduled an immediate state visit to Japan, where he faxed in his
resignation. Another
election, between Alejandro Toledo and former president Alan García
produced the Toledo presidency of today. Conclusion Due to the
policies commonly considered “Fujipopulism,” from the elimination of
the Senderistas to direct public works, Peru advanced beyond needing
Fujimori. While he fixed the
structure of the Peruvian economy and defeated the Sendero guerillas, he
made to mistakes for his electoral career by aiding Peru.
First of all, once the economy stabilized from the “Fujishock,”
Peruvians expected a healthy economy and were not pleased when it turned
sour in the late 1990s. While
Peruvians recognized that their economy did not need another
restructuring, Fujimori’s success in implementing the “Fujishock”
raised the bar of expectations for his economic performance in the future.
It is questionable whether this means that all presidents will be
held to a standard of Fujimori’s first term performance or whether
President Toledo will receive more leniency in public opinion because he
has not restructured an economy, despite his credentials for doing so. Secondly, much of
the success in the Peruvian military’s campaign against Sendero Luminoso
was due to the support given by the rural population, specifically the rondos
campesinos. While the campesinos
were an effective force in promoting Fujimori’s reelection during the
1995 campaign, during the years after 1995 they evolved into civil society
groups effective in mobilizing against allowing Fujimori a third
chance in office. Thus, Diamond’s
thesis about democracy holds true. Not
only did Peru pursue significant steps toward democratic consolidation, it
moved forward by moving backwards. While the April 5, 1992 autogolpe was a blatantly
anti-democratic act, the policies that the Fujimori government passed both
stabilized the Peruvian economy and created civil society groups so
necessary to the maintenance of liberal democracy.
While Peruvians may not have considered democracy the best choice
for their government in 1992, it is clear that their opinion again favored
democracy by the late 1990s. Unfortunately
for Fujimori, his very actions to promote a Peru in which he ruled
indefinitely only developed Peru and laid the groundwork for the forces
that eventually undid his presidency. Furthermore,
Diamond’s thesis that Peru did not consider democracy the right
government for themselves at the time is borne out in events since
Toledo’s election. While
Toledo has taken to some Fujimori-esque actions, such as having the
military distribute relief and dedicating public works projects while in
native dress, Toledo ran on a platform against government corruption.
It is doubtful in the extreme that the Stanford educated
anti-corruption president will pursue his predecessor’s course. It is less likely that he would be able to if he tried.
While Fujimori nominally returned power to the legislative branch
with the new constitution, he did so at the insistence of international
lenders. It is more likely
that domestic forces would stop any future president attempting an autogolpe.
One of his first acts, as had been done by presidents Belaundé,
García, and Fujimori, was asking Congress for far-reaching policy-making
power in economics. This
session, however, Congress denied a president that power for the first
time since the end of military rule in 1980.
The Peruvian Congress did pass the resolutions Toledo communicated
through Prime Minster Daniño, but only after debating each of them first.[xxvii]
It seems that the lessons of Fujimori are more than those of how to
develop a country. Some negative
lessons also have been taught, specifically that when the legislative
branch delegates it’s power to the executive the legislative branch may
not get that power back. Furthermore,
one power delegated only makes the situation that much easier for the
executive to usurp more and more power.
In the final analysis, Fujimori did usurp democracy in many
significant ways during his presidency.
He closed Congress during the autogolpe and during the
intervening time while an assembly debated a new constitution, he
concentrated as much power as possible in the executive branch.
However, he stabilized the dying Peruvian economy, decimated
Abimael Guzman and Sendero Luminoso, and promoted civil society at the
same time (if only inadvertently). The
Fujimori regime can be seen as temporary steps backwards in the larger
process of democratic consolidation in Peru.
[iv] Freedom House.
Freedom in the World: The Annual Survey of Political Rights
and Civil Liberties, 1990-1991 & 1991-1992.
New York: Freedom House. 1991-92.
[vi] Larry Diamond.
Developing Democracy: Towards Consolidation.
Baltimore: Johns Hopkins UP.
1999. 10.
[vii] Ibid.
18.
[ix] Kurt Weyland.
“A Paradox of Success? Determinants
of Political Support for President Fujimori.”
International Studies Quarterly.
44.3
[x] Cynthia McClintock.
“Peru: Precarious Regimes, Authoritarian and Democratic.”
In Democracy in Developing Countries: Latin America.
Eds. Larry Diamond et al.
Boulder: Lynne Reiner. 1999.
309.
[xii] Woy Hazleton, Susan and
Willam A. Hazleton. “Sendero
Luminoso and the Future of Peruvian Democracy.”
Third World Quarterly.
12.2. 1990.
35.
[xiii] David Scott Palmer.
“Democracy and its Discontents in Fujimori’s Peru.
Current History. February
2000. 60.
[xiv] Bruce H. Kay.
“`Fujipopulism’ and the Liberal State in Peru:
1990-1995.” Journal
of Inter-American Studies and World Affairs. 38.4. 1996/97.
[xv] Ibid.
Note 1.
[xvi] Steven Levitsky.
“Fujimori and Post-Party Politics in Peru.”
Journal of Democracy.
10.3. 1999.
83.
[xvii] Kenneth M. Roberts and
Moises Arce. “Neoliberalism
and lower-class Voting in Peru.”
Comparative Political Studies.
31.2. 1998.
217.
[xviii] Bruce H. Kay.
“`Fujipopulism’ and the Liberal State in Peru:
1990-1995.” Journal
of Inter-American Studies and World Affairs. 38.4. 1996/97.
[xix] Kenneth M. Roberts.
“Neoliberalism and the Transformation of Populism in Latin
America: The Peruvian Case. World
Politics. 48.
1996.
[xx] Gregory D. Schmidt.
“Delegative Democracy in Peru?
Fujimori’s 1995 landslide-e and the Prospects for 2000.
Journal of Inter-American Studies and World Affairs.
42.1. 115.
[xxi] Weyland.
Ibid.
[xxii] World Economic
Indicators. IMF.
World Economic Outlook Database April 2000.
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2000/01/data/index.htm.
[xxiv] Steven Levitsky.
“Fujimori and Post-Party Politics in Peru.”
Journal of Democracy.
10.3. 1999.
79.
[xxv] David Scott Palmer.
“Democracy and its discontents in Fujimori’s Peru.”
Current History. February
2000. 61.
[xxvi] Gregory D. Schmidt.
“Delegative Democracy in Peru?
Fujimori’s 1995 landslide and the Prospects for 2000.
Journal of Inter-American Studies and World Affairs.
42.1. 121.
[xxvii] “Peruvian
President Wins Congress
Approval for Measures.”
Xinhua General News Service.
August 25, 2001.
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